Uncertainty stems from Italian elections as M5S leads the polls

  • Giada Negri
  • 1.2.2018 17:00

According to the latest survey carried out by Demopolis.it on 28 and 29 January, the Five Star Movement (M5S) is still the leading party in the polls (29,5%), but will likely be unable to gain the relative majority of 40% required to form a government. Despite the party toning down its anti-EU rhetoric, post-electoral scenarios still generate concerns regarding foreign policy implications.

Recently, M5S underwent a complete makeover to attract the swing votes from undecided moderates (22%) and to reassure international observers. The party distanced itself from its original leader, Beppe Grillo, and also from some of its former core policy proposals, including the referendum on the Euro, but not from the idea of dropping sanctions against, and re-building relations with Russia. Its Kremlin-friendly foreign policy approach and the anti-establishment rhetoric constitute the main common ground for a potential deal with the Eurosceptic, xenophobic Northern League (14%), currently part of the leading centre-right coalition of Silvio Berlusconi (39%). However, M5S could also join forces with the leftist Free and Equals (6,3%), which is refusing to take part in Matteo Renzi’s centre-left coalition (28%). The two parties share economic concerns and some international priorities, including the reform based on solidarity principles of the EU Dublin IV common asylum system. 

About author: Giada Negri

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